Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.108704 0.117886 0.127702 0.139015 0.151738 0.165657 0.182108
2024-10-06 0.095613 0.108580 0.123358 0.141596 0.163714 0.189945 0.223829
2024-10-13 0.083696 0.097966 0.114935 0.136889 0.164974 0.200316 0.249186
2024-10-20 0.074986 0.089782 0.107952 0.132332 0.164870 0.207840 0.270756
2024-10-27 0.068469 0.083502 0.102456 0.128672 0.164943 0.214897 0.291870
2024-11-03 0.066585 0.082819 0.103878 0.133993 0.177367 0.240033 0.342572
2024-11-10 0.065424 0.082889 0.106158 0.140514 0.191981 0.269992 0.405797
2024-11-17 0.062419 0.080195 0.104371 0.140960 0.197502 0.286585 0.449845
2024-11-24 0.059013 0.076691 0.101142 0.138920 0.198846 0.296447 0.483588
2024-12-01 0.055700 0.073099 0.097515 0.135920 0.198260 0.302847 0.511822
2024-12-08 0.052319 0.069212 0.093203 0.131503 0.194880 0.303905 0.529632
2024-12-15 0.050172 0.066981 0.091180 0.130478 0.196983 0.314833 0.569520
2024-12-22 0.048147 0.064954 0.089534 0.130251 0.200998 0.330888 0.626701
2024-12-29 0.046785 0.063848 0.089240 0.132251 0.209256 0.356544 0.713553
2025-01-05 0.044058 0.060544 0.085337 0.127904 0.205530 0.357858 0.742127
2025-01-12 0.041599 0.057526 0.081705 0.123738 0.201706 0.358408 0.769043
2025-01-19 0.039514 0.054980 0.078682 0.120395 0.199099 0.361152 0.802801
2025-01-26 0.039301 0.055312 0.080282 0.125252 0.212883 0.401949 0.958959
2025-02-02 0.039289 0.055946 0.082397 0.131196 0.229603 0.452966 1.171606
2025-02-09 0.038224 0.054845 0.081550 0.131603 0.234872 0.477500 1.308178
2025-02-16 0.036822 0.053136 0.079581 0.129744 0.235067 0.489246 1.403733
2025-02-23 0.035358 0.051264 0.077239 0.127010 0.233060 0.494913 1.478680
2025-03-02 0.033759 0.049114 0.074323 0.122980 0.227785 0.490981 1.512581